Parnas program trading theory
This theory is a set of effective Parnas program trading theory formed after years of research based on seven theoretical fields of foreign exchange investment such as practical analysis awareness, value orientation, technical theory, portfolio investment, asset system, risk monitoring and investment nature. Because the theoretical analysis conditions need to be quantified and evaluated, it is more suitable for computer users and institutional investors to use. 1. Prerequisites for the formation of the theory
1. The foreign exchange investment market itself is the transaction itself, and as long as there are transactions, there will be changes in profits and losses.
2. Where there is a market, there must be constant analysis and forecasting.
3. The analysis and forecast of the investment market must be based on the quantitative statistical analysis of the previous data to guide the later stage, so there are many uncertainties in the judgment of the later market trend.
4. The analysis categories of the investment market are divided into:
Technical analysis (pavilion analysis): such as indicator analysis, trend analysis, graphical analysis, chip analysis, sequence analysis, (financial analysis, golden section) value analysis (fundamental), psychological analysis, macro analysis, alternative analysis (change of week analysis, philosophical analysis) The results vary, and there are different gains and losses in different market stages in the verification of market effectiveness, and it is difficult to grasp in the process of use if not a professional operator.
5. Therefore, the following conclusions are drawn: the operation of the investment market is irregular and regular, and in human operation, there are finally people who cannot reach it. Any analytical means is a state of relative return rather than absolute return, and the final investment result is a state of regular return and irregular risk.
6. At present, the purpose of large funds in the market is to maintain and create the laws of the market, and at the same time, it also creates the illusion of rebellious laws. Small and medium-sized investors constantly judge the true laws of large funds to prevent traps from appearing. Finally, when the invisible hand of the market appears, the artificial laws of the market evolve into the irregularities of the market, and the result can be imagined. The original inverted thinking ultimately leads to a painful lesson.
7. The most basic operating law of the investment market is to buy low and sell high, with low regularity and high uncertainty. Therefore, a complete set of trading theories is required to improve it.
II. Theoretical model
The theory abandons the investment forecast that presents the investment market with a single variety index or a single analysis type, grasps the regularity of the investment market, monitors its irregularity, and creates the most effective income process as the starting point, so as to achieve a balance between returns and risks while maximizing ROI.
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Disclaimer: The content of this article does not represent the views of the Institute of Foreign Exchange. The content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors operate accordingly at their own risk.
